Populist Politicians Use Poultry to Pontificate and Pander

By Noreen Alladina • Friday, February 5, 2010 11:42 am
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Several critics of President Obama’s “Buy American” provisions warned of the looming trade war between the U.S. and China. Just today, China has made the next move in pushing U.S-China trade relations one step closer toward a full-blown trade war between the two countries. They have imposed anti-dumping duties on U.S. chicken products that reach as high as 105.4%.

 

The U.S. chicken industry relies on selling chicken products to China and will likely take a huge hit from these tariffs. While some jobs may have been “saved” from the tire tariffs or from the anti-dumping duties in the steel industry, jobs lost from tariffs placed on U.S. exports will likely negate the number of “saved” jobs.

 

While it may sound appealing to “save” jobs through limiting competition from imports, the eventual consequences of tariff policies far outweigh any immediate benefits. For example, it adversely affects workers in other industries as the American poultry industry is now witnessing. Furthermore, the total impact of tariffs seems to offer consumers a raw deal. It drives up prices and prohibits variety and competition.

 

Tariffs come with an enormous price tag that must be accounted for.

 

The Effects of the Mere Possibility of a
Bank Tax on Your 401(k)

By Noreen Alladina • Friday, January 29, 2010 5:35 pm
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On Thursday January 14th, President Obama announced his proposal for a tax on banks in order to recuperate the money spent on bailouts and the stimulus package. The following Monday, the stock market began a week filled with losses and down arrows. Let’s examine the closing prices of the Vanguard 500 Index Fund (the largest mutual fund that mirrors the performance of the S&P 500 index) to see how the bank tax announcement fared on the stock market.

The chart below lists the date, the adjusted closing price, and the amount of money one would have if they invested $10,000, $50,000, or $100,000 in this mutual fund.

Date
Adj. Closing Price
$10,000
$50,000
$100,000
19-Jan-10
105.97
$10,000
$50,000
$100,000
20-Jan- 10
104.86
$9,895.25
$49,476.27
$98,952.53
21-Jan-10
102.88
$9,708.40
$48,452.05
$97,084.08
22-Jan-10
100.6
$9,493.25
$47,466.27
$94,932.53
25-Jan-10
101.06
$9,536.66
$47,683.31
$95,366.61
26-Jan-10
100.64
$9,497.02
$47,485.14
$94,970.27
27-Jan-10
101.14
$9,544.21
$47,721.06
$95,442.11
28-Jan-10
99.95
$9,431.91
$47,159.58
$94,319.15


From the beginning of the week to the end, someone who invested $10,000 would have lost $568.08. Someone who had $100,000 of their 401(k) invested would have lost over $5,680. I would say this is a pretty significant loss. If this is the loss from the week following simply just an announcement of a possible bank tax, what will happen to the stock market if a bank tax actually makes its way through Congress?


On January 16th, Obama asserted, "Like clockwork, the banks and politicians who curry their favor are already trying to stop this fee from going into effect.” Well, it seems that the stock market is the one currently doing the convincing.

 

Stimulus II: A Sequel America Cannot Afford

By Noreen Alladina • Friday, January 29, 2010 10:45 am
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Possible Heightened Regulation on Banks Similar to Attempted Regulation of Microsoft in Late 90s

By Noreen Alladina • Wednesday, January 27, 2010 4:21 pm
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Remember when the Department of Justice thought Microsoft violated antitrust laws so they tried to coerce the company into integrating their competitor’s browser in their software? Well it’s a good thing for all of us that they failed. Regulating Microsoft would have inhibited the fast-paced innovation in this industry, which probably would have stunted the growth of what is currently one of the most high-tech, creative companies in the world, Apple. And where would we all be without our beloved iphones or Apple’s newest gadget, the iPad tablet? The mass fear of a monopoly by Microsoft never played out and instead more fierce competition bloomed with the rise of Apple.

 

Now, Americans are facing a parallel situation. Should the government heighten regulation of the banks? Should the government step in and place more controls on the banks? The answer is no—it will deter competition, innovation, and growth. The government currently is in need of a scapegoat and the big banks are the perfect target, just as Microsoft was in the late 90s. We should use history as a guide and avoid making the mistake of intervening with market forces. Competition will ensure prosperity and growth in the long run as it did in the tech industry, while augmented regulation will only inhibit it.

 

Ryan Ellis Talks Bank Tax, TARP, Health Care and Excessive Government Spending on Glenn Beck

By Noreen Alladina • Wednesday, January 20, 2010 4:26 pm
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Tariffs Used as a Money Maker for Government?

By Noreen Alladina • Friday, January 8, 2010 11:57 am
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We are bombarded with news about the Obama administration’s recent addition of tariffs on Chinese tires or on steel and the possibility of a trade war looming ahead. However, the public is utterly unaware of the taxes imposed on the insignificant items more commonly known in Congress as the “miscellaneous tariff bills.

 

These bills include a laundry list of a narrow and seemingly arbitrary set of goods ranging from the duty on bells designed for use on bicycles to the duty on ice shavers and even as specific as the duty on combination single slot toaster and toaster ovens. Every so often, a compilation of the suspension of many of these tariffs is passed through Congress on a temporary basis. To apply for a temporary suspension on these tariffs, three conditions must be met:

 

  • There is no domestic production of the good or no objections from current domestic producers
  • U.S. Customs and Border Patrol must be able to administer the duty suspension
  • The CBO gives it a score of under $500,000 per year

 

The temporary suspension of the import taxes is one step in the right direction, but I must ask why we need to have these tariffs in the first place. If the reasoning behind the placement of a tariff on a good is that it deters competition from international producers, then why do we have tariffs on goods that don’t even have any domestic producers? This seems to me to be a money-making scheme for the government that only gets noticed when producers who use these goods in their final product point out the fruitlessness of these taxes. And even so, they only receive temporary suspension. I propose we eradicate these tariffs on a permanent basis. This will provide domestic producers with lower costs, providing a boost to their industry and the economy as a whole. Wasn’t that the original intention of tariffs anyway?

Deficits are Bad, but the Real Problem is Government Spending

By Benjamin Pacini • Tuesday, December 15, 2009 11:09 am
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Fidelity: Generation Y Saving More and Spending Less…

By Benjamin Pacini • Tuesday, December 15, 2009 10:30 am
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If there is any good news from the financial collapse, it is that 20 to 30-year-olds have decided that spending less and saving for retirement are important.  Now if the federal government will only catch on.

Fidelity Investments recently released a report that indicates that “saving more and spending less was the overwhelming mantra for most Americans (18 yrs or older) when listing the top three financial resolutions they are considering. More than half (51%) said that saving more money was their primary focus, followed by spending less money (30%) and making or sticking to a budget (14%).”

In addition, the report said “nearly half (47%) of Gen Y employees (22-33 yrs old) with an employer-sponsored retirement savings plan report that managing everyday finances, such as paying the mortgage or credit card debt, is a more crucial obligation than saving for retirement. The majority (57%) believe that these types of savings plans are the best way to save for retirement. More (18%) now consider saving for retirement to be their "most crucial goal" versus just 13 percent in 2008."

ACORN`s Problems are the Government`s Problem

By Benjamin Pacini • Wednesday, December 9, 2009 3:30 pm
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When the latest ACORN scandal broke, many conservatives started jumping all over each other to claim that ACORN was guilty of high levels of corruption.  They are missing the point. 

ACORN is a political foe, and it is easy to take potshots at such an organization. ACORN is certainly corrupt.  After all, it has been in the middle of a remarkable embezzlement scandal, it has been accused of voter fraud, and it is has ties to Andy ‘I’m-not-a-lobbyist’ Stern and his gang of SEIU thugs.
 
The real story isn’t about ACORN’s corruption though.  The real story is the story of a group that screwed up much worse: the federal government.

Regulatory Reform You Can Believe In:
Members of Congress Become Shareholders

By Benjamin Pacini • Thursday, December 3, 2009 9:30 am
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According to a recent article in the Washington Post, Members of Congress are becoming shareholders—that is, owners—of companies throughout the United States.  The article argues that this is a bad thing.  We disagree. 

If we want to fix the economy, we have to fix incentives.  What’s the easiest way to do that?  Get Members of Congress to invest in the stock market. 

When a Congressman owns stock, he is less likely to do things that will frustrate the market, such as increasing the corporate income tax.  Furthermore, becoming a part of the investor class is an important part of becoming independent from the government, and planning one’s own life.  It also gives them some skin in the game, meaning they won’t do idiotic things to tank the equities market like double the capital gains tax. In other words, making bad law will affect both their reelection and their pocketbook.  

There are, however, conflicts of interest when a Congressman gets to write laws that affect his or her company.  The way to fix this problem, however, is not regulation, but transparency.  That is, instead of creating one more regulatory government bureaucracy, let the Washington Post keep an eye on Congressional dealings, and sniff out anything that might be amiss. 

In other words, Congress should not be barred from owning stocks.  Maybe they should be forced to buy a couple instead. 

Explaining the Death Tax Mess

By Benjamin Pacini • Tuesday, December 1, 2009 4:11 pm
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With the health care debate raging in the Senate, another fight has been lost in the background: the death tax.  It can be confusing to discuss the topic, mainly due to the complexity of tax law.  Here is a refresher on the death tax.

Current law:
  • At present, the death tax (another name for the estate tax) sits at 45%.
  • It is slotted to expire at 12:00 AM, January 1st, 2010.  That is, the death tax drops to 0%.
  • The death tax will jump from 0% to 55% overnight, at 12:00 AM, January 1st, 2011—as every tax that was cut under President Bush is hiked again.
Political Implications:
 
Those who want to keep the estate tax—primarily the left—need to see it reinforced before it dies.  Not doing so would mean political suicide: if the death tax goes to 0%, and then Democrats decide to raise it again, it will be increasing the rate of the most unpopular tax in America.  As such, Congress has a good incentive to do something with the death tax before it expires in a month.
 
Congressional Democrats have proposed permanently extending the 2009 rate of 45%.  While this would technically be a tax cut relative to the permanent 55% rate called for under current law, it would be a very small cut on a terrible tax. 
 
Republicans, on the other hand, are offering full death tax repeal as their alternative.  That is, Republicans would like the death tax to drop to 0% in 2010, and stay there forever.

Click 'read more' to read the rest of this article

Fidelity Fact of the Day:
Employers Are Matching 401(k)s Again

By Benjamin Pacini • Tuesday, December 1, 2009 11:05 am
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Things aren’t looking so bad after all—at least according to Fidelity Investments, the nation’s top provider of 401(k) plans.  As the economy is showing signs of significant improvement, employers are beginning to match 401(k) contributions again.  If you were thinking about investing more into your 401(k), things are looking good.
 
For the broader economy, this is both a harbinger of good things to come, and a good thing in itself.  It indicates that employers have the money to pay towards the investments of their employees, which is a simple way of saying that wages are rising.  This is because companies are profitable again and have the funds to do so.  This signals to markets that stock prices should increase, since companies are faring better. 
 
More importantly though, the employers who are doing this are incentivizing individuals to invest in the future of the nation through the stock market.  This means that more employees are putting money into stock investments, which leads to higher stock prices.

The source of this information is Fidelity Investments, who released a report recently.  Click
here for the PDF.

Handing Jack Kevorkian the Defibrillator: Chris Dodd as an Agent for Financial Regulatory Reform

By Palmer Schoening
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As Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, Senator Chris Dodd (D-CT) oversaw and perpetuated the financial crisis. Dodd largely ignored calls for the reform of Fannie and Freddie – two “government sponsored” lending machines which made a large number of unwise mortgage transactions possible. As Banking Chairman, Dodd colluded with his friends at AIG as well as other financial institutions in a quid quo pro manner. The fact that Dodd received $223,000 from AIG employees for recent campaigns may be illustrative into the cause of a recent scandal, where Dodd attempted to secure almost $200 million in tax payer funded bonuses for AIG executives. After this story broke, the typical finger pointing and denial game ensued until Dodd eventually accepted responsibility for the last minute insertion.

In the aftermath of the bank busts and scandal, a Quinnipiac University Poll now shows former Republican U.S. Congressman Rob Simmons leading Dodd 49% to 38%. In addition, former World Wrestling Entertainment executive Linda McMahon is also edging out Dodd at 43% to 41%. The poll found that the most important issue for the voters is the economy.
 
Desperate times call for desperate measures. Dodd is now attempting to regain his credibility and electability by strapping American shareholders with the “Restoring American Financial Stability Act." Dodd’s new legislation goes even further than Barney Frank’s proposal put forth in the House Financial Services Committee last month; it slaps heavy handed bureaucratic control on virtually all American institutions.
 
American Shareholders strongly opposes the Dodd legislation because the legislation has potentially crushing effects on the economy and subsequent negative effects on the shareholders of American companies. According to the Wall Street Journal this week, the Dodd legislation would:
 
•Create an entire new agency to function as a central economic “systematic regulator”, in addition to the already mysterious Federal Reserve.
 
•Give the government the power to regulate all companies that include financial institutions “in whole or in part” (this definition will undoubtedly be applied broadly to any institution which participates in any type of commerce).
 
•Give the Federal Reserve authority to regulate and supervise all large nonbank financial institutions and, if they are in danger of failing, take control of them and resolve their problems outside the bankruptcy system (permanent corporate welfare).
 
In short: Dodd’s bill would set the stage for even more damaging tweaks, bailouts, and interventions into the American economy, spurring a flurry of even more politically motivated decisions and unintended consequences. Ceding even more power in the hands of Chris Dodd and those responsible for our recent financial crisis is truly akin to handing Jack Kevorkian the defibrillator.
 
Call Chris Dodd and tell him that you want less power in the hands of government and more in the hands of shareholders. (202) 224-2823  
 
 
Palmer Schoening
Analyst

New House Dem Savers Tax Would Be
Equivalent to Doubling Cap Gains Tax

By Ryan Ellis • Wednesday, November 18, 2009 6:47 pm
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According to published reports in National Journal's "Congress Daily PM" (subscription only), House Democrats are set to propose the following tax increase on America's shareholder majority:

  • 0.25 percent tax on the value of all stock transactions
  • 0.02 percent tax on the value of all futures, swaps, and credit default swaps
  • a tax on options at the rate of the underlying asset

The use of the $150 billion per year in tax revenue raised would be to:

  • Spend $75 billion on what the government is currently financing through deficits
  • Spend $55 billion on make-work government programs
  • Spend $20 billion on unionized employee highway projects

In order to "protect" smaller investors from this tax, the first $100,000 in a taxable brokerage account would not be affected.  The tax would not apply to transactions conducted within pension plans (including 401(k) plans), all types of IRAs (including Coverdell ESAs), 529 College Savings Plans, and health savings accounts (HSAs).

Of course, this doesn't matter.  Congress would still be extracting $150 billion per year out of capital markets.  This is the equivalent of doubling the capital gains tax.  Back in 2007, there were about $900 billion in net capital gains reported on individual tax returns.  This brought in approximately $150 billion in tax revenue.  This bill would have the same revenue effect as doubling the capital gains tax.

If you don't think that will hurt your average investor, you just haven't been paying attention.

Stimulus: A Picture is Worth a Thousand... Jobs?

By Benjamin Pacini • Thursday, November 12, 2009 12:29 pm
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This graph explains itself fairly well.  It suggests at least two things: that the stimulus hasn’t worked, and that the economy isn’t going to be doing better anytime soon.  While fewer people are losing their jobs every month, we are still far away from breaking even in unemployment.  It will take even more job creation from there until we are able to shrink the unemployment rate.

What it doesn’t explain so well is the really frightening thing.

Click 'read more' to see the full explanation--and another picture.

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