Jobless Claims Continue to Stabilize
More signs today that the labor side of the economic equation isn't all that bad.
Initial jobless claims fell by 18,000, and the more important four-week moving average ticked up by only 2500, to 367,000. There were modest job losses in April. The unemployment rate is at an historically-low 5.0%. Average hourly earnings are up 3.4% from April 2007, about in line with inflation.
Let's not forget the fact that we haven't yet had a quarter of negative GDP growth.
So where's this recession everyone assumes we're in?

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