Monthly Budget Review:
It's Still the Spending, Stupid
CBO came out with their monthly budget review late yesterday. The headline is that the budget deficit was $151 billion for the first seven months of the fiscal year (up over 86% from this time last year).
What's the cause of this red ink? Taxes falling off a cliff thanks to the economy? If you said that, you'd be wrong:
- Overall tax receipts were up 2.9%--roughly in line with inflation, despite the limping economy
- Non-withheld income tax payments (reflecting self-employed persons) is up a robust 7%
- The only down note is corporate income taxes, down 13.6%
No, the culprit, as usual, is spending:
- Overall spending is up an adjusted 7%
- Leading the way is defense spending, up an adjusted 10.2%
- Domestic discretionary spending is up a pork-filled 7.4%
So when someone blames taxes for the rising deficit, you can tell them that tax revenues are pulling their weight. It's just that spending is growing over twice as fast.

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